6
Kolomio
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 97
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-02-28 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-01-16 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-12-08 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2024 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 29% | -0.54 |
| 18/09/2024 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 23/11/2024 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 08/12/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 16/01/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 28/02/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 23/04/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 09/05/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |