8

Quick To Accuse

6yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 101

Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength48%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Belmont At The Big A 25/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 102 · 1m1f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 102 par25/10C5OR 102C6 @ Laurel Park 14/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 106 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark14/11/2025 · OR 106 parC5 @ Aqueduct 26/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 104 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/12/2025 · OR 104 par26/12C5OR 104C5 @ Aqueduct 14/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 109 · 7f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 109 parC6 @ Laurel Park 27/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 103 · 1m 126 · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 103 par27/02C6OR 103C5 @ Aqueduct 29/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 109 · 1m 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/03/2026 · OR 109 parC6 @ Aqueduct 26/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 103 · 7f Slo 123 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 103 par26/04C6OR 103C5 @ Saratoga 03/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 104 · 1m1f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/06/2026 · OR 104 parC6 @ Saratoga 21/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 102 · 1m Fas 126 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 102 par21/08C6OR 102projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Saratoga?5th5th0
2026-06-03Saratoga?5th4th+1
2026-04-26Aqueduct?5th5th0
2026-03-29Aqueduct?2nd1st+1
2026-02-27Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2026-02-14Aqueduct?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1014/0226/0421/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength33%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/10/20254th7/163%40%-0.23
14/11/20252nd10/382%86%+0.03
26/12/20252nd10/147%75%+0.28
14/02/20263rd15/261%67%+0.06
27/02/20263rd11/486%50%-0.36
29/03/20262nd8/158%83%+0.25
26/04/20265th10/147%20%-0.27
03/06/20265th10/147%43%-0.05
21/08/20265th9/488%20%-0.68