3
Ashikidah
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 103
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Forever Together Stakes · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-10-19 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 2nd | -2th | +4 |
| 2025-09-19 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-19 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2024 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 06/05/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 30/05/2025 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 86% | -0.11 |
| 19/06/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 28/08/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 77% | +0.14 |
| 19/09/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 19/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 94% | +0.26 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |