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7

Dynamic Pricing

5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 109

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Forever Together Stakes · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼4
Strength100%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: +3.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Belmont At The Big A 13/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 110 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark13/09/2024 · OR 110 par13/09C5OR 110C1 @ Belmont At The Big A 04/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 111 · 1m110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/05/2025 · OR 111 parC0 @ Saratoga 06/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 111 · 1m Yie 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2025 · OR 111 par6/06C?OR 111C0 @ Saratoga 12/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 108 · 1m1f Yie 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/07/2025 · OR 108 parC5 @ Saratoga 29/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 108 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark29/08/2025 · OR 108 par29/08C5OR 108C0 @ Keeneland 04/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 108 · 1m Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 108 parC0 @ Keeneland 11/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 112 · 1m110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 112 par11/04C?OR 112C1 @ Belmont At The Big A 03/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 112 · 1m110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 112 parC0 @ Saratoga 18/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 111 · 1m1f Yie 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 111 par18/07C?OR 111projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Saratoga?5th0th+4
2026-05-03Belmont At The Big A?2nd-3th+4
2026-04-11Keeneland?4th-1th+4
2025-10-04Keeneland?7th2nd+4
2025-08-29Saratoga?1st1st0
2025-07-12Saratoga?3rd-2th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0912/0711/0418/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength57%

Delivery trend -5.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/09/20243rd7/491%75%-0.16
04/05/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
06/06/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
12/07/20253rd13/266%50%-0.16
29/08/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
04/10/20257th4/179%40%-0.39
11/04/20264th13/266%57%-0.09
03/05/20262nd7/491%75%-0.16
18/07/20265th15/261%33%-0.27