1
Oversubscribed
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 101
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Forever Together Stakes · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength81%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-11-08 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | -3th | +4 |
| 2024-10-12 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2024-07-20 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | -3th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/2024 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 05/05/2024 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 22/06/2024 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 20/07/2024 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 89% | -0.03 |
| 12/10/2024 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 08/11/2024 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |
| 23/11/2025 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |