Ozara
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 105
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Forever Together Stakes · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2025-10-04 | Keeneland | ? | 8th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2025-08-08 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | -4th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 14/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 10/07/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 08/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/10/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 30% | -0.41 |
| 30/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |