2
Table Flirt
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 101
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Forever Together Stakes · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 4th | +4 |
| 2025-09-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 05/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 13/07/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 28/11/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |