7
Felixyn
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 90
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-08 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength71%
Delivery trend -10.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |