1
Ganderella
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 92
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
37%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +18.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |