Into The Unknown

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 68

Belmont Park · Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.8

Today:

Class gap: +0.3

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-19	Saratoga	?	8th	6th	+2	3.8
2026-07-30	Saratoga	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-06-28	Belmont At The Big A	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-06-04	Saratoga	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-05-09	Belmont At The Big A	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-04-09	Aqueduct	?	5th	5th	0	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▼

Strength13%

Delivery trend -9.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
09/04/2026	5th	14/1	26%	33%	+0.07
09/05/2026	3rd	33/1	0%	67%	+0.67
04/06/2026	2nd	50/1	0%	91%	+0.91
28/06/2026	2nd	4/1	79%	80%	+0.01
30/07/2026	2nd	5/2	87%	80%	-0.07
19/08/2026	8th	33/1	0%	0%	0.00