4

Lyn's Legacy

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 87

Belmont Park · Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

46%

Place Prob

34%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 1214/07C6C6 @ Saratoga 02/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 85 · 1m1f Fm 121 · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 85 par2/08C6OR 85projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-02Saratoga?2nd2nd0
2026-07-04Saratoga?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/072/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength65%

Delivery trend -17.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/07/20262nd5/174%89%+0.15
02/08/20262nd2/189%88%-0.02