14
Miss Scarlet
4yo Filly · 0-0
Cholet · Prix Des Iris - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#14
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | Chartres | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Laval | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-27 | Enghien | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength41%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 02/03/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 19/03/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 07/04/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 04/11/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/03/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 23/04/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/05/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |