9

John Magic

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Cholet · Prix Des Petunias - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

17%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 27/04/2023 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 027/04C?C0 @ Cabourg 26/10/2023 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y 0C0 @ Cabourg 27/12/2023 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 027/12C?C0 @ Angers 10/01/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 0C0 @ Nantes 27/02/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 027/02C?C0 @ Caen 11/03/2024 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Laval 08/11/2024 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 08/11C?C0 @ Caen 17/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR - · 1m4f39y Hvy 0C0 @ Chateaubriant 22/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 022/04C?projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-22Chateaubriant?14th14th0
2025-09-17Caen?8th8th0
2024-11-08Laval?7th7th0
2024-03-11Caen?5th5th0
2024-02-27Nantes?1st1st0
2024-01-10Angers?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0410/018/1122/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength78%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20238th15/261%53%-0.07
26/10/202310th80/10%40%+0.40
27/12/20231st5/174%100%+0.26
10/01/20243rd10/147%78%+0.30
27/02/20241st4/797%100%+0.03
11/03/20245th11/271%73%+0.02
08/11/20247th18/15%60%+0.55
17/09/20258th12/137%59%+0.22
22/04/202614th66/10%13%+0.13