12

Joyau D'ever

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Cholet · Prix Des Petunias - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

42%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 14/08/2024 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 014/08C?C0 @ La Capelle 23/09/2024 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Nantes 17/01/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 017/01C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 05/02/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Chartres 18/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 018/06C?C0 @ Cordemais 08/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 19/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 019/05C?C0 @ Chartres 31/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 06 @ Pornichet 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 018/076projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Les Sables50
2026-07-18Pornichet64th4th0
2026-05-31Chartres?4th4th0
2026-05-19Argentan?1st1st0
2026-03-08Cordemais?12th12th0
2025-11-26Amiens?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/085/0219/0518/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength70%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20243rd15/261%82%+0.21
23/09/20247th11/142%60%+0.18
17/01/20258th17/255%46%-0.09
05/02/202511th13/266%29%-0.37
18/06/20252nd66/10%92%+0.92
08/03/202612th80/10%21%+0.21
19/05/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
31/05/20264th3/184%73%-0.11
18/07/20264th13/891%73%-0.19