7

Kaliakie Phedo

6yo Mare · 0-0

Cholet · Prix Des Petunias - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#4

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

13%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 30/01/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 030/01C?C0 @ Caen 10/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Cherbourg 21/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 021/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 20/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Chartres 03/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 03/11C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 17/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Chateaubriant 22/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 022/04C?4 @ Vincennes 30/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Les Sables 26/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 026/08C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Les Sables?6th6th0
2026-04-30Vincennes42nd2nd0
2026-04-22Chateaubriant?9th9th0
2026-03-17Meslay Du Maine?1st1st0
2026-02-25Vincennes?0
2025-11-03Chartres?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0120/0522/0426/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength35%

Delivery trend -0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/20254th7/282%80%-0.02
10/03/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
21/04/20252nd50/10%92%+0.92
20/05/20252nd9/153%93%+0.41
03/11/202512th66/10%27%+0.27
17/03/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
22/04/20269th50/10%38%+0.38
30/04/20262nd5/287%89%+0.02
26/08/20266th28/10%50%+0.50