4

Kettina Du Cygne
6yo Mare · 0-0
Cholet · Prix Des Petunias - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#11
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Cherbourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-12 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Toulouse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-22 | La Capelle | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 07/02/2025 | 11th | 7/4 | 91% | 17% | -0.74 |
| 30/07/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 22/08/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.77 |
| 05/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 93% | +0.01 |
| 22/09/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 31/10/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 12/11/2025 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.13 |
| 22/06/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |