3

Kiara De Jade

6yo Mare · 0-0

Cholet · Prix Des Petunias - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#12

Rank

Odds

60/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 05/09/2024 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 05/09C?C0 @ Pornichet 21/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 10/10/2024 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 010/10C?C0 @ Laval 08/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 03/04/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 03/04C?C0 @ Chartres 29/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 06/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m208y Std 06/07C?C0 @ Vincennes 04/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Le Mans 15/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 015/12C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-12-15Le Mans?8th8th0
2025-11-04Vincennes?8th8th0
2025-09-22La Capelle?0
2025-07-06La Capelle?5th5th0
2025-06-29Chartres?8th8th0
2025-04-03Mauquenchy?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/098/116/0715/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%

Delivery trend +1.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20247th8/158%45%-0.12
21/09/20243rd9/153%85%+0.32
10/10/20247th10/147%60%+0.13
08/11/20246th20/10%67%+0.67
03/04/202511th50/10%33%+0.33
29/06/20258th16/116%36%+0.21
06/07/20255th7/491%50%-0.41
04/11/20258th22/10%50%+0.50
15/12/20258th16/116%53%+0.38