4
Lucky Blue
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Cholet · Prix Des Genets - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Pornichet | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Pornichet | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-14 | Nantes | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Le Mans | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Angers | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-09-15 | Laval | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/2025 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/12/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 14/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |