11

Lutin Du Layon
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Cholet · Prix Des Genets - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#13
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Langon-Libourne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Cordemais | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Pontchateau | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -13.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |