11

Lutin Du Layon

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Cholet · Prix Des Genets - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#13

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Pontchateau 15/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 015/0255 @ Cordemais 27/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 027/025C0 @ Langon-Libourne 14/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 014/07C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Langon-Libourne?5th5th0
2026-02-27Cordemais54th4th0
2026-02-15Pontchateau57th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0227/0214/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength27%

Delivery trend -13.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/02/20267th40/10%65%+0.65
27/02/20264th20/10%63%+0.63
14/07/20265th14/126%64%+0.37