7

Idylle Mika

8yo Mare · 0-0

Cholet · Prix Mondial Du Lion - Credit Mutuel - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#7

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 19/10/2022 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 019/10C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 02/01/2023 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Gd 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 16/01/2023 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Gd 016/01C?C0 @ Angers 31/01/2024 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 27/02/2024 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 027/02C?C0 @ Argentan 26/12/2024 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Caen 17/03/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 017/03C?C0 @ Nantes 29/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Caen 16/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 016/03C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-06Graignes?0
2026-03-16Caen?3rd3rd0
2026-02-06Argentan50
2025-05-29Nantes?8th8th0
2025-03-17Caen?8th8th0
2024-12-26Argentan?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1031/0117/0316/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/10/202211th80/10%33%+0.33
02/01/20235th50/10%71%+0.71
16/01/20231st25/10%100%+1.00
31/01/20247th25/10%50%+0.50
27/02/202413th66/10%25%+0.25
26/12/202411th10/147%41%-0.06
17/03/20258th18/15%53%+0.48
29/05/20258th80/10%50%+0.50
16/03/20263rd80/10%88%+0.88