4

Jacinthe Des Bois

7yo Mare · 0-0

Cholet · Prix Mondial Du Lion - Credit Mutuel - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#10

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 16/01/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 016/01C?C0 @ Argentan 07/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Saint-Malo 08/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 08/06C?C0 @ Caen 23/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 17/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 017/08C?C0 @ Cabourg 02/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Angers 08/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f149y Std 08/12C?7 @ Laval 26/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 17/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 14317/03C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-12Angers?0
2026-03-17Meslay Du Maine?6th6th0
2026-03-01Vire60
2026-02-26Laval74th4th0
2026-02-13Nantes40
2025-12-23Argentan?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0123/068/1217/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength53%

Delivery trend -0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/20259th14/126%43%+0.17
07/02/20252nd33/10%93%+0.93
08/06/20255th33/10%71%+0.71
23/06/202510th80/10%36%+0.36
17/08/202512th40/10%21%+0.21
02/10/202511th66/10%33%+0.33
08/12/20258th50/10%42%+0.42
26/02/20264th16/116%79%+0.63
17/03/20266th22/10%55%+0.55