3
Jade Paroyo
7yo Mare · 0-0
Cholet · Prix Mondial Du Lion - Credit Mutuel - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Saint-Malo | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Nantes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Cordemais | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Cherbourg | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-06-09 | Reims | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 26/11/2024 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |
| 09/12/2024 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |
| 21/04/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 76% | +0.76 |
| 17/07/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |
| 14/01/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 21/01/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 87% | +0.29 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.09 |