1

Jalouisia Girl

7yo Mare · 0-0

Cholet · Prix Mondial Du Lion - Credit Mutuel - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#11

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pornichet 28/07/2023 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 028/07C?C0 @ Pornichet 29/08/2024 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 029/08C?C0 @ Angers 29/01/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 029/01C?C0 @ Nantes 22/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 022/02C?C0 @ Pornichet 24/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 024/07C?5 @ Pontchateau 15/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 015/025C0 @ Angers 09/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 09/09C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Angers?10th10th0
2026-02-15Pontchateau510th10th0
2025-07-24Pornichet?7th7th0
2025-02-22Nantes?6th6th0
2025-01-29Angers?4th4th0
2024-08-29Pornichet?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0722/029/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/07/20238th40/10%30%+0.30
29/08/20243rd9/153%85%+0.32
29/01/20254th20/10%73%+0.73
22/02/20256th28/10%58%+0.58
24/07/20257th28/10%57%+0.57
15/02/202610th100/10%36%+0.36
09/09/202610th50/10%18%+0.18