9
Josepha Choup
7yo Mare · 0-0
Cholet · Prix Mondial Du Lion - Credit Mutuel - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Nantes | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-02 | Agen | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Vincennes | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Cordemais | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength53%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 22/05/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 29/05/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 19/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |
| 14/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |
| 22/01/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |
| 03/09/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |