11
Jumby Bay
7yo Mare · 0-0
Cholet · Prix Mondial Du Lion - Credit Mutuel - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Caen | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Nantes | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Angers | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/12/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 11/02/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 79% | +0.36 |
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 01/04/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 58% | -0.18 |
| 15/06/2026 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 21% | -0.42 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 11/09/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |