2

Justice Delarchamp

7yo Mare · 0-0

Cholet · Prix Mondial Du Lion - Credit Mutuel - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 27/05/2024 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 027/05C?C0 @ Chartres 26/11/2024 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 19/12/2024 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 019/12C?C0 @ Pontchateau 02/01/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Saint-Malo 08/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 08/07C?C0 @ La Capelle 21/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Chatelaillon 04/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 04/08C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 09/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 18/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 018/12C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-12-18Meslay Du Maine?8th8th0
2025-11-09Mauquenchy?6th6th0
2025-09-10Meslay Du Maine?0
2025-08-04Chatelaillon?4th4th0
2025-07-21La Capelle?2nd2nd0
2025-07-08Saint-Malo?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/052/014/0818/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength85%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/05/20243rd9/488%85%-0.04
26/11/20241st33/10%100%+1.00
19/12/20246th18/15%67%+0.61
02/01/202511th40/10%29%+0.29
08/07/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
21/07/20252nd2/189%91%+0.01
04/08/20254th12/137%63%+0.26
09/11/20256th9/153%67%+0.14
18/12/20258th22/10%59%+0.59