11

Iago De Senoville

8yo Gelding · 0-0

Cholet · Prix Salon Du Cheval D'angers - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#9

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Argentan 02/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 02/11C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 27/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 24/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13024/12C?4 @ Vincennes 06/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1434 @ Cordemais 27/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 14327/0245 @ Laval 28/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Cholet 27/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 14327/04C?5 @ Pornichet 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 143C0 @ Craon 07/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 1437/09C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Craon?7th7th0
2026-07-16Pornichet53rd3rd0
2026-04-27Cholet?4th4th0
2026-03-28Laval58th8th0
2026-02-27Cordemais49th9th0
2026-02-06Vincennes45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/116/0227/047/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/11/20257th10/147%60%+0.13
27/11/20252nd16/116%92%+0.77
24/12/20253rd18/15%80%+0.75
06/02/20265th14/126%73%+0.47
27/02/20269th16/116%27%+0.11
28/03/20268th66/10%50%+0.50
27/04/20264th8/158%79%+0.21
16/07/20263rd16/116%75%+0.59
07/09/20267th16/116%63%+0.47