13

Hotline Javanaise

9yo Mare · 0-0

Cholet · Prix Des Chardons - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#6

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Mans 13/04/2023 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 013/04C?C0 @ Les Sables 20/07/2023 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 0C0 @ Pornichet 02/08/2023 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 02/08C?C0 @ Les Sables 07/08/2023 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Pornichet 18/08/2023 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 018/08C?C0 @ Chartres 07/11/2023 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 0C0 @ Chartres 08/05/2024 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 08/05C?C0 @ Laval 01/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 07 @ Laval 26/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 026/027projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-05Laval?0
2026-02-26Laval79th9th0
2025-11-01Laval?12th12th0
2024-05-08Chartres?7th7th0
2023-12-28Bordeaux Le Bouscat?0
2023-11-07Chartres?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/047/088/0526/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength19%

Delivery trend -5.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/04/20233rd80/10%88%+0.88
20/07/20236th20/10%55%+0.55
02/08/20236th25/10%44%+0.44
07/08/20235th18/15%56%+0.50
18/08/20239th50/10%33%+0.33
07/11/20231st25/10%100%+1.00
08/05/20247th7/163%45%-0.18
01/11/202512th66/10%27%+0.27
26/02/20269th33/10%43%+0.43