9

Jade Sotho

7yo Mare · 0-0

Cholet · Prix Des Chardons - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength1%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 28/02/2023 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Gd 028/02C?C0 @ Agen 24/03/2023 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 0C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 08/09/2024 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 08/09C?C0 @ Chartres 17/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 0C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 15/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 015/08C?C0 @ Pornichet 25/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Lisieux 24/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 024/09C?C0 @ Agen 18/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 07 @ Agen 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 030/057projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-30Agen74th4th0
2025-11-18Agen?7th7th0
2025-09-24Lisieux?10th10th0
2025-08-25Pornichet?6th6th0
2025-08-15Meslay Du Maine?3rd3rd0
2024-10-17Chartres?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0217/1024/0930/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength84%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/02/20232nd10/147%89%+0.42
24/03/202314th17/255%13%-0.42
08/09/20248th28/10%46%+0.46
17/10/20244th66/10%80%+0.80
15/08/20253rd28/10%85%+0.85
25/08/20256th6/168%58%-0.10
24/09/202510th10/147%36%-0.12
18/11/20257th20/10%60%+0.60
30/05/20264th20/10%80%+0.80