3

Jalencia Bella

7yo Mare · 0-0

Cholet · Prix Des Chardons - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#11

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 12/06/2024 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 012/06C?C0 @ Vichy 20/06/2024 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 26/06/2024 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 026/06C?C0 @ Saint Galmier 17/02/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 01/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 01/04C?C0 @ Divonne Les Bains 11/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 0C0 @ Divonne Les Bains 21/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 021/08C?C0 @ Pornichet 30/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 07 @ Meslay Du Maine 15/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 015/087projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Meslay Du Maine75th5th0
2026-07-30Pornichet?11th11th0
2026-06-17Chartres?0
2026-01-17Lyon La Soie60
2025-11-15Lyon-Parilly?0
2025-08-21Divonne Les Bains?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0617/0221/0815/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength35%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/06/20242nd22/10%90%+0.90
20/06/20247th9/153%60%+0.07
26/06/202410th22/10%40%+0.40
17/02/202512th33/10%27%+0.27
01/04/20254th10/147%80%+0.33
11/08/20252nd12/137%93%+0.56
21/08/20257th10/147%50%+0.03
30/07/202611th66/10%23%+0.23
15/08/20265th40/10%64%+0.64