4
Jasmin Du Chatelet
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Cholet · Prix Des Chardons - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#2
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-18 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-03-03 | Vire | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-02-07 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2023-10-29 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2023-10-07 | Laval | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2023-08-30 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
Delivery trend +14.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2023 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 55% | -0.32 |
| 28/07/2023 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/08/2023 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 07/10/2023 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 42% | +0.26 |
| 18/08/2024 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |