8
Kalie Dream
6yo Mare · 0-0
Cholet · Prix Des Chardons - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#8
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Cordemais | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Nantes | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-12 | Nantes | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-18 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Les Sables | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2024 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/04/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 22/08/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |
| 20/10/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 18/12/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 12/01/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.67 |
| 13/02/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 08/03/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 26/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |