11
Kaline Four
6yo Mare · 0-0
Cholet · Prix Des Chardons - Attele · 1m 5f 202y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Les Sables | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Saint-Malo | 7 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Argentan | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-12 | Nantes | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-22 | Cabourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Angers | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2024 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 06/06/2024 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 04/09/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 08/12/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/12/2025 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 12/01/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 06/02/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.76 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 46% | +0.09 |
| 04/08/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |