7

Kaptain Fafa

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Cholet · Prix Des Chardons - Attele · 1m 5f 202y

#13

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pornichet 25/07/2024 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 025/07C?C0 @ Saint-Malo 13/08/2024 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 013/08C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-30Saint Brieuc60
2025-09-04Les Sables?0
2024-08-13Saint-Malo?5th5th0
2024-07-25Pornichet?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0713/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +52.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/20249th33/10%11%+0.11
13/08/20245th18/15%69%+0.64