8

Gimmeatreat

2yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 36

Churchill Downs · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f 110y

#11

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength24%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Ellis Park 21/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS21/08C7
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Ellis Park?11th9th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 9-14 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/202611th50/10%0%0.00