5
Doctor Approved
2yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 69
Churchill Downs · Race 10 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |