3
Prince Of Light
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 90
Churchill Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
74%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Ellis Park | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength45%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |
| 19/01/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 28/05/2026 | 9th | 15/8 | 90% | 20% | -0.70 |
| 21/06/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 26/07/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |