Skynet
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 81
Churchill Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/04/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 27/04/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 20/07/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 16/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 13/07/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |