2

Jaydeevee

3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 70

Churchill Downs · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 21/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m110y Slo 11921/09C6C6 @ Turfway Park 27/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 84 · 6f110y Fas 119 · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 84 par27/12C6OR 84C6 @ Turfway Park 22/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 50 · 6f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark22/02/2026 · OR 50 par22/02C6OR 50C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 52 · 5f Fm 120 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 52 par30/06C6OR 52C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 63 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 63 par6/08C6OR 63projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-02-22Turfway Park?10th10th0
2025-12-27Turfway Park?5th5th0
2025-09-21Churchill Downs?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0927/1222/0230/066/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength66%

Delivery trend +9.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/202511th33/10%0%0.00
27/12/20255th33/10%60%+0.60
22/02/202610th33/10%18%+0.18
30/06/20264th20/10%63%+0.63
06/08/20264th14/126%73%+0.46