7
War And Majesty
4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 84
Churchill Downs · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-05-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-12-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2024 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 07/09/2024 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 04/10/2024 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 01/12/2024 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 26/05/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 91% | +0.30 |
| 01/05/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 36% | -0.22 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 13% | -0.59 |