7
Queen Of Capri
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 85
Churchill Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Ellis Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-18 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -39.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |