5
Sneakily
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 96
Churchill Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-18 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -18.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 1/2 | 97% | 67% | -0.31 |