Joejoe Go
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 104
Churchill Downs · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Del Mar | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 22/08/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 23/11/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 27/12/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 07/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 31/08/2026 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 9% | -0.59 |