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8

Marbellesa

3yo Filly · 8-12

Fontainebleau · Prix Des Animations Pmu (prix Label Equures) Maiden Stakes · 5f 212y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/5

Win Prob

28%

Place Prob

29%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 29/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12829/03C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 17/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12817/04C5C8 @ Chantilly 12/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12812/05C8C5 @ Angers 08/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f156y GS 1248/06C5C0 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12312/07C?C0 @ Deauville 15/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 12515/08C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Deauville?5th5th0
2026-07-12Deauville?3rd3rd0
2026-06-08Angers?3rd3rd0
2026-05-12Chantilly?3rd7th−4
2026-04-17Saint-Cloud?3rd3rd0
2026-03-29Saint-Cloud?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0317/0412/058/0612/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength67%

Delivery trend -9.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20265th11/142%69%+0.27
17/04/20263rd12/137%88%+0.51
12/05/20263rd6/594%83%-0.10
08/06/20263rd1/195%75%-0.20
12/07/20263rd4/179%86%+0.07
15/08/20265th7/282%71%-0.10