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Blue Dahlia

3yo Filly · 9-4

Fontainebleau · Prix Mercedes-benz Groupe Autosphere (prix Des Cerfs) Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#8

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Mans 21/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f95y Gd 12421/04C5C5 @ Chateaubriant 24/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Sft 12424/05C5C5 @ Les Sables 06/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f152y Gd 1246/08C5C0 @ Saint-Malo 28/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m208y GS 13028/08C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Saint-Malo?7th7th0
2026-08-06Les Sables?7th7th0
2026-05-24Chateaubriant?3rd3rd0
2026-04-21Le Mans?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0424/056/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -18.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/04/20266th33/10%62%+0.62
24/05/20263rd11/271%82%+0.11
06/08/20267th22/10%33%+0.33
28/08/20267th11/142%33%-0.09