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8

Deseronto

3yo Filly · 9-2

Fontainebleau · Prix Mercedes-benz Groupe Autosphere (prix Des Cerfs) Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Pornichet 03/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 1233/01C5C5 @ Deauville 07/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1287/02C5C5 @ Les Sables 06/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f152y Gd 1246/08C5projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Les Sables?8th8th0
2026-02-07Deauville?8th8th0
2026-01-03Pornichet?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/017/026/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength17%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/01/20263rd15/261%78%+0.17
07/02/20268th16/116%13%-0.03
06/08/20268th25/10%22%+0.22