6
Donnalucata
3yo Filly · 9-2
Fontainebleau · Prix Mercedes-benz Groupe Autosphere (prix Des Cerfs) Handicap · 1m 2f 205y
#3
Rank
Odds
19/10
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Nantes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Evreux | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 26/04/2026 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 62% | +0.14 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 83% | +0.28 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |