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11

Hordearii

3yo Gelding · 8-13

Fontainebleau · Prix Mercedes-benz Groupe Autosphere (prix Des Cerfs) Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#12

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 9.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 15/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 12815/01C5C5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 26/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 12826/01C5C5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 04/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Sft 1284/02C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 24/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 12824/02C5C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 02/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1202/09C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Lyon-Parilly?9th9th0
2026-02-24Lyon La Soie?10th10th0
2026-02-04Cagnes-sur-Mer?11th11th0
2026-01-26Cagnes-sur-Mer?11th11th0
2026-01-15Cagnes-sur-Mer?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0126/014/0224/022/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength11%

Delivery trend -4.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/01/20267th50/10%50%+0.50
26/01/202611th40/10%9%+0.09
04/02/202611th66/10%17%+0.17
24/02/202610th66/10%25%+0.25
02/09/20269th80/10%20%+0.20