3

Spring Laurel

3yo Filly · 9-5

Fontainebleau · Prix Mercedes-benz Groupe Autosphere (prix Des Cerfs) Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#10

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 19/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12819/03C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 11/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 12811/04C5C0 @ Dieppe 13/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 13013/07C?C0 @ Vichy 06/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1256/08C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Vichy?6th6th0
2026-07-13Dieppe?4th4th0
2026-04-11Fontainebleau?8th8th0
2026-03-19Saint-Cloud?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0311/0413/076/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -20.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/03/20266th22/10%50%+0.50
11/04/20268th12/137%22%-0.15
13/07/20264th18/15%80%+0.75
06/08/20266th10/147%0%-0.47