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10

Butterfly Nebula

3yo Filly · 8-12

Fontainebleau · Prix Radio Evasion (prix De La Table Du Grand Maitre) Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon-Parilly 14/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f156y Ver 12214/06C5C5 @ Machecoul 22/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f149y Hvy 12822/02C5C5 @ Nancy 04/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 1244/04C5C0 @ Evreux 15/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 12215/04C?C5 @ Moulins 28/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 12428/08C5projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Moulins?6th6th0
2026-04-15Evreux?9th9th0
2026-04-04Nancy?8th8th0
2026-02-22Machecoul?7th7th0
2025-06-14Lyon-Parilly?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0622/024/0415/0428/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%

Delivery trend +6.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/06/202510th20/10%0%0.00
22/02/20267th50/10%45%+0.45
04/04/20268th16/116%22%+0.06
15/04/20269th40/10%11%+0.11
28/08/20266th50/10%50%+0.50